Welsh Labour MPs could be fighting each other for seats, Lib Dem MPs could be wiped out and Plaid MPs be squeezed down to one.
We could see some well known names and talented names go.
The Boundary Commission publishes their proposals this month and the number of constituencies in Wales go down from 40 to 30.Chris Bryant, may have to do battle with either Owen Smith, the MP for Pontypridd, or Huw Irranca-Davies, who represents Ogmore for a seat.
The Westminster Government wants to change the law to remove any penalty on people who do not register to vote. It is estimated that 300,000 people in Wales that has an impact on the size of constituencies According to Kevin Brennan “most of the people who won’t register to vote will be poor people, who would be more likely to vote Labour.” He said removing the penalty for not registering to vote would put Britain on a par with the United States. In 2000, George Bush was elected President because many people in the crucial state of Florida were not on the electoral register.
A senior Welsh Labour source said: “It’s inevitable there will be some big battles but I don’t think there will be a huge amount of blood-letting. It will be difficult for the individuals concerned, but there won’t be much fall-out within the party as a whole".
The Libl Demts could see their only urban seat ,Cardiff Central go it would also be difficult for them to win merged seats of Brecon/ Radnor and Ceredigion. Plaid could also be squeezed., the changes could see them with no MPs.
So who would benefit then ,it's a no brainer ,the Tories but I am sure there would be casualties there too.,
So how do you measure a constituency ;is it numbers of voters or spatiality Should there be more moves to get more people registered to vote. If we have 300,000 not registered, that could make a difference.
The question I guess is do we need so many MPs now we have a devolved government?
Would we need to increase the number of AMs – to do what though and how?
Like most old democracies we have evolved not been logically planned is it time to get this sorted?
However it’s done there are going to be politicians unhappy with the results. Will it really affect us that much; will it save us money, who knows.
But for sure it will cut opportunities for existing and hopeful career politicos.
5 comments:
And do we really feel sorry for any of them. The less we have the less they cost I don't see we need any in Westminster If they are debating anything to do with wales let the Welsh Ministers go up there.
"George Bush was elected President because many people in the crucial state of Florida were not on the electoral register."
Give me a break - the reason why George Bush was not elected was because Gore's home state did not even vote for him. His own home state. An "inconvenient truth".
As to Florida, this situation of having to be on the Electoral register to vote has been that way through Democratic and GOP administrations. It is up to the state of FL to decide how it votes.
For example, some states are moving towards proportional representation (In re 'electoral college votes' - so you could argue that if California did that then Clinton would not have been elected since it's a 'win all electoral votes state'.
If memory serves, Bill Clinton was elected with fewer votes overall than his GOP opponent got (nationwide).
One could argue that the Democratic Party is fighting proportional representation in CA because if it comes in then most Democratic contenders for the White House would not have been elected!
Since the economy was supposedly so good Gore should have won by a landslide, but he did not! The poor dont vote and dont care! Clinton cut their welfare checks in 1996, so they did not see much of a difference.
Brennan is a fine one to talk when Ely paper mill closed good paying jobs were lost leaving the workings the alternative of Lidls or Tesco for work.
Gore could have won even with the loss of FL if he had won his home state. But his own home state didn't vote for him; I found that hard to believe but that's really what cost him the election, not FL. Gore would have had enough Electoral Votes to win the Presidency regardless of FL. It amazes me that my fellow Brits accept what the British press tell them - just the other day one newspaper said Newt Gingrich personally served divorce papers on his dying wife - never happened. But just a bit of common sense would tell you that one spouse doesn't personally deliver court papers on the other spouse.
opps ... "the reason why George Bush was not elected was because Gore's home state did not even vote for him. His own home state. An "inconvenient truth"."
Should have read: the reason why Gore was not elected was because Gore's home state did not even vote for him. His own home state. An "inconvenient truth".
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